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Your idea for automating message forwarding on Telegram falls into the 'Minimal Signal' category. This means there isn't a lot of readily apparent market validation yet. We only found one similar product, "CapyCast - Mass forwarding in Telegram", which shows that this is a niche category. It only garnered one comment, which indicates low engagement. Since the engagement is so low, we don't have enough signal to reliably compute net use or net buy signals. According to our framework, you need to validate demand before sinking significant time and effort into development. Don't worry, this isn't necessarily a bad thing; it just means more upfront validation is needed.

Recommendations

1. Start by directly engaging with your potential user base. Since you're focusing on Telegram, identify relevant groups and channels where people are already discussing automation, productivity, or community management. Share your idea and ask for feedback on the specific problems they face with message forwarding. Focus on understanding their pain points and needs before building anything.
2. Offer to manually solve the message forwarding problem for a small group of users (2-3). This is crucial in the 'Minimal Signal' category. Manually setting up forwarding rules and managing the process yourself will give you invaluable insights into the workflow, potential edge cases, and the actual value proposition. This direct experience will inform your product development and validate if this is a real need or just a "nice-to-have".
3. Create a short, compelling explainer video showcasing the potential benefits of your automated forwarding solution. Focus on the time-saving aspect, improved organization, and any unique features you envision. Track the video's viewership and engagement to gauge initial interest. If people aren't watching the video, they likely won't use the product.
4. Gauge commitment by asking interested users for a small deposit to join a waiting list. This acts as a filter to separate genuine interest from casual curiosity. The 'CapyCast' product received a single comment saying 'Good project', but that's not enough to justify product development. A paid waiting list is a better indication.
5. Set a clear timeframe for validation. If you can't find at least five genuinely interested people within 3 weeks who are willing to put down a small deposit, it's a strong signal that the demand isn't there. Be prepared to pivot or reconsider the idea altogether.
6. Analyze the single similar product 'CapyCast' closely. Understand its features, target audience (if discernible), and any user reviews or feedback available. Look for gaps in their offering or areas where you can differentiate your solution. Since there's only one similar product, it's doubly important to learn from it.

Questions

1. What specific pain points related to message forwarding are you aiming to solve for Telegram users, and how have you validated that these pain points are widespread and significant enough to warrant a dedicated solution?
2. Given the low engagement and minimal validation in this category, what is your plan to create a compelling go-to-market strategy that can attract early adopters and generate initial traction for your product?
3. What are the key differentiators of your automated forwarding solution compared to existing methods or potential workarounds (e.g., manual forwarding, third-party bots), and how will you effectively communicate these differentiators to your target audience?