29 Jul 2025
Sports

Website for fantasy award show league. Similar to fantasy football, ...

...allows users to place bets on which artists will receive a nomination (for the Grammys for example). After nominations are cast a new bracket allows users to bet on who they think will win each category. No money at first, only "betting" for digial points

Confidence
Engagement
Net use signal
Net buy signal

Idea type: Swamp

The market has seen several mediocre solutions that nobody loves. Unless you can offer something fundamentally different, you’ll likely struggle to stand out or make money.

Should You Build It?

Don't build it.


Your are here

Your idea for a fantasy award show league where users bet on nominations and winners is entering a competitive space. The "Swamp" category description accurately reflects this, as there are already several similar solutions in the market. With 6 similar products already identified, standing out will be challenging. The engagement level of these similar products is low (average of 2 comments), suggesting that it may be difficult to capture user attention. While the provided metrics don't show strong positive signals for use or buy, this isn't necessarily a bad sign, as most products don't get explicit feedback, positive or negative. The key will be understanding why current solutions haven't fully succeeded and finding a unique angle to differentiate your platform.

Recommendations

  1. Thoroughly research existing platforms in the fantasy sports and award show prediction space, focusing on user reviews and pain points. Analyze why these solutions haven't achieved widespread adoption, including factors like user experience, engagement mechanics, and marketing strategies. The feedback from the similar product launches suggests that users are interested in unique app experiences, so make sure your research includes a deep dive into what makes your platform stand out.
  2. Identify a specific niche within the award show landscape that is currently underserved. For example, focus on a particular genre of music, film, or a specific award show that isn't already heavily targeted by existing fantasy platforms. Tailoring your platform to a dedicated audience can help you build a loyal user base and differentiate yourself from the competition.
  3. Instead of directly competing with established sports and entertainment platforms, consider building tools or integrations that enhance their existing offerings. This could involve creating prediction algorithms, data analytics dashboards, or engagement features that integrate seamlessly into existing platforms. This approach allows you to leverage existing user bases and establish yourself as a valuable partner in the industry.
  4. Explore adjacent problems in the entertainment or prediction markets that might present more promising opportunities. For example, consider building a platform for predicting box office success, TV ratings, or social media trends. These areas may have less competition and offer a greater potential for innovation and growth. Also, review the positive comments around the similar projects, and maybe think if those ideas can be transferred here.
  5. Given the crowded market and the challenges of standing out, it might be prudent to conserve your resources and focus on a different project. Consider other ideas you have that align better with your skills and interests, and that have a clearer path to success. Starting a new project is always an option and there is no shame in doing so.

Questions

  1. What specific, unique features will your platform offer that differentiate it from existing fantasy sports and award show prediction platforms, and how will these features address unmet user needs?
  2. How will you acquire and retain users in a highly competitive market, and what marketing strategies will you employ to stand out from the noise?
  3. What is your long-term vision for the platform, and how will you adapt and evolve to stay relevant in the ever-changing landscape of entertainment and technology?

Your are here

Your idea for a fantasy award show league where users bet on nominations and winners is entering a competitive space. The "Swamp" category description accurately reflects this, as there are already several similar solutions in the market. With 6 similar products already identified, standing out will be challenging. The engagement level of these similar products is low (average of 2 comments), suggesting that it may be difficult to capture user attention. While the provided metrics don't show strong positive signals for use or buy, this isn't necessarily a bad sign, as most products don't get explicit feedback, positive or negative. The key will be understanding why current solutions haven't fully succeeded and finding a unique angle to differentiate your platform.

Recommendations

  1. Thoroughly research existing platforms in the fantasy sports and award show prediction space, focusing on user reviews and pain points. Analyze why these solutions haven't achieved widespread adoption, including factors like user experience, engagement mechanics, and marketing strategies. The feedback from the similar product launches suggests that users are interested in unique app experiences, so make sure your research includes a deep dive into what makes your platform stand out.
  2. Identify a specific niche within the award show landscape that is currently underserved. For example, focus on a particular genre of music, film, or a specific award show that isn't already heavily targeted by existing fantasy platforms. Tailoring your platform to a dedicated audience can help you build a loyal user base and differentiate yourself from the competition.
  3. Instead of directly competing with established sports and entertainment platforms, consider building tools or integrations that enhance their existing offerings. This could involve creating prediction algorithms, data analytics dashboards, or engagement features that integrate seamlessly into existing platforms. This approach allows you to leverage existing user bases and establish yourself as a valuable partner in the industry.
  4. Explore adjacent problems in the entertainment or prediction markets that might present more promising opportunities. For example, consider building a platform for predicting box office success, TV ratings, or social media trends. These areas may have less competition and offer a greater potential for innovation and growth. Also, review the positive comments around the similar projects, and maybe think if those ideas can be transferred here.
  5. Given the crowded market and the challenges of standing out, it might be prudent to conserve your resources and focus on a different project. Consider other ideas you have that align better with your skills and interests, and that have a clearer path to success. Starting a new project is always an option and there is no shame in doing so.

Questions

  1. What specific, unique features will your platform offer that differentiate it from existing fantasy sports and award show prediction platforms, and how will these features address unmet user needs?
  2. How will you acquire and retain users in a highly competitive market, and what marketing strategies will you employ to stand out from the noise?
  3. What is your long-term vision for the platform, and how will you adapt and evolve to stay relevant in the ever-changing landscape of entertainment and technology?

  • Confidence: High
    • Number of similar products: 6
  • Engagement: Low
    • Average number of comments: 2
  • Net use signal: 17.9%
    • Positive use signal: 17.9%
    • Negative use signal: 0.0%
  • Net buy signal: 0.0%
    • Positive buy signal: 0.0%
    • Negative buy signal: 0.0%

This chart summarizes all the similar products we found for your idea in a single plot.

The x-axis represents the overall feedback each product received. This is calculated from the net use and buy signals that were expressed in the comments. The maximum is +1, which means all comments (across all similar products) were positive, expressed a willingness to use & buy said product. The minimum is -1 and it means the exact opposite.

The y-axis captures the strength of the signal, i.e. how many people commented and how does this rank against other products in this category. The maximum is +1, which means these products were the most liked, upvoted and talked about launches recently. The minimum is 0, meaning zero engagement or feedback was received.

The sizes of the product dots are determined by the relevance to your idea, where 10 is the maximum.

Your idea is the big blueish dot, which should lie somewhere in the polygon defined by these products. It can be off-center because we use custom weighting to summarize these metrics.

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